Pick Your Matchweek

The season's remaining fixtures for Aston Villa, Manchester United, Chelsea, and Liverpool are grouped by matchweek. Use the tabs to navigate between weeks.

Check the Probabilities

Each fixture displays a probability bar showing the statistical likelihood of each outcome — home win, draw, or away win. These are calculated using a Poisson distribution model based on each team's home and away goal-scoring and conceding rates across the 2025-26 season so far. The larger the segment, the more likely that outcome.

Simulate Each Match

For every fixture, you'll see two team buttons and a Draw button. Click the team you think will win, or pick Draw. The buttons are colour-coded:

• Green = Home team wins
• Amber = Draw (1 point each)
• Red = Away team wins

Click the same button again to undo your selection.

Watch the Table Update

Every selection instantly recalculates the standings. Points are awarded the standard way: 3 for a win, 1 for a draw, 0 for a loss. Teams are ranked by points, then goal difference, then wins.

Positions & Champions League

Arsenal and Manchester City are assumed to finish 1st and 2nd. The four focus teams compete for positions 3rd through 6th. The top 5 in the Premier League qualify for the Champions League, so 3 of the 4 focus teams can qualify — one will miss out.

Teams in qualifying positions are highlighted with a green border. A dashed line separates the Champions League zone from the rest.

Shortcuts

• Simulate This Week — randomly fills in unsimulated fixtures for the current matchweek, weighted by each match's probability
• Simulate All Remaining — randomly fills every remaining match across all matchweeks, weighted by probabilities
• Reset All — clears all your selections and returns to the baseline standings

The Verdict

Once every matchweek is complete, a verdict banner reveals which focus teams qualified for the Champions League and which ones missed out. Try different scenarios to see what your team needs!